Jennifer Rosdail | San Francisco Real Estate

Of Interest


Warren Buffet on Housing

by Paragon Specific | Wednesday, 29 February, 2012

In an CNBC interview on February 27th, Warren Buffett said the following when asked whether he’d recommend people buy stocks or houses right now:

“If I knew where I was going to live for the next five years or 10 years, I’d buy a home and I’d finance it with a 30-year mortgage. It’s a terrific deal…

If I had a way of buying a couple hundred thousand single-family homes… I would load up on them. And I would take mortgages out on them at very low rates… [With] a 30-year mortgage… it’s a leveraged way of owning a very cheap asset now. That’s as attractive an investment as you can make.” And in his latest letter to shareholders: “Housing will come back – you can be sure of that… Every day, we are creating more households than housing units. People may postpone hitching up during uncertain times, but eventually hormones take over… Fortunately, demographics and our market system will restore the needed balance…”

Watch Out for Those Flashers

by admin | Wednesday, 1 February, 2012

One CLIK wrote last week that she’s been “flashed all over town.”  I was initially concerned but I started giggling when I realized she was talking about all the red light cameras.  Running a red light is going up to $436.  She has kindly passed along this article on the shockingly high new traffic and parking fines that went into effect this month.

Apparently handicapped zone parking violations are going up to $976 and so is stopping in a bus loading zone.  Nearly $1000 to drop someone off when the buses don’t even use them half the time?  If you’ve ever been on tour with me, you know I fearlessly use driveways and double park but am terrified of ramps and hydrants.  I fear you will all be forced to follow my example or risk bankruptcy.

To read the article, click here.  And thanks, you know who you are, for sending this along.

In light of recent “Shake Ups”…

by Paragon Specific | Saturday, 22 October, 2011


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What’s in the planning pipeline

by Paragon Specific | Wednesday, 5 October, 2011

Click here to view what is in the San Francisco Planning Pipeline.

Common Mistakes Buyers Make in Multiple-Offer Situations

by Paragon Specific | Monday, 3 October, 2011

1. Not having your agent do a full comparative market analysis of the property: a clear-headed assessment of what fair market value is.

2. Not making a list of the strengths and weaknesses of the property, to keep in mind during the negotiations or perhaps to even use in the negotiations.

3. The flip side of #1 & #2: Getting too excited and making a purely emotional decision. When buyers see that other buyers want the property, the “value” of the property soars in their mind, which is why the highest prices always result from either multiple bidding or the fear that others will be making offers. A good listing agent does everything he or she can do to manipulate this fear. This is the flip side of why values decline after longer days on market: If someone else wants it, it’s very valuable; if no one else wants it, there must be something wrong with it and it can’t be so valuable.

4. Not setting your walk-away price before getting starting with the negotiating. At some price point, the deal is no longer worth doing, no matter how great the property.

5. In one’s urgency to make the deal, not including sufficient contingencies to perform thorough due diligence. I’ve seen homes that look perfect turn out to have $250,000 in pest damage; if one wrote the offer without the appropriate inspection and investigation contingencies, one might win the deal, but wake up to a house with very unpleasant surprises waiting.

6. Having an agent that is more interested in making the deal (and collecting their commission) than making you the best deal; having an agent who doesn’t know the market values in the area; having an agent who doesn’t know how to negotiate (sadly common).

7. Not learning as much as possible about the seller, the property and the listing agent as possible: needs, wants, circumstances, style of doing business

8. Not making sure that there really are competitive offers, because sometimes the listing agent will blow smoke about “expecting multiple offers.” You can even have your agent write two (or more) offers at different price points, with clear instructions as to which one to submit depending on the final number of offers received by the listing agent.

9. Throwing in the towel when told that the seller is only countering another offer(s). If you want the property and you’re willing to pay more, one can always throw in another offer during the seller’s counter offer process with others.

10. Not asking for back-up position if you lose in the bidding. Sellers will often put a second buyer into back-up position at the same price or even a lesser price than the accepted offer. If the first deal blows up, then the back-up offer is immediately elevated into accepted position. Deals blow up all the time (probably about 10% – 15% of the time) for a wide number of reasons and one can find one is buying the house they wanted at an acceptable price after all. (Buyers in back-up typically have the option to cancel that position at any time, so they can continue to look for another home. It really is a no-lose proposition.)

From the IRS: Ten Tax Tips for Individuals Selling Their Home

by admin | Monday, 22 August, 2011

“IRS Summertime Tax Tip 2011-15, August 8, 2011

The Internal Revenue Service has some important information to share with individuals who have sold or are about to sell their home. If you have a gain from the sale of your main home, you may qualify to exclude all or part of that gain from your income. Here are ten tips from the IRS to keep in mind when selling your home.”

Click here to continue.

Great Online Resources for Living in San Francisco

by Paragon Specific | Saturday, 30 July, 2011

San Francisco & Bay Area…

Restaurants, wine, arts, sports, nightlife, neighborhoods, schools, farmers’ markets, things to do with kids and dogs, biking, hiking, transit, real estate, maps, remodeling and renovation tools, and other online resources.

Chronicle’s Top 100 Bay Area Restaurants & Map

Chronicle’s Bargain Bites Restaurants & Map

Chronicle’s Best Breakfast Places

Best of Bay: Dining & Entertainment & SF Magazine Best of Bay

Chronicle’s Top 100 Wines & 20 Great Wines Under $20

Everything Within Walking Distance of Your Home

103 Things to Do with Kids in San Francisco

Things to Do in SF & Free Things to Do

Places to Go with Dogs

San Francisco Biking Resources & Bay Area Hiking Trails

Paragon Real Estate Market Monthly Update

San Francisco Real Estate Market Trends Overview

SF Home Prices & $/SqFt by Neighborhood & Property Type

San Francisco Realtor Map

Online 3-D Remodeling & Renovation & Remodeling Idea Books

Remodeling Cost vs. Value Analysis for SF

25 Planning Dept Maps: Zoning, Noise, Open Space, Transit, Parking

San Francisco Bars, Clubs & Lounges

Guide to SF Neighborhoods & Neighborhood Fast Facts

Detailed, Updated SF Demographics, City & Neighborhood

San Francisco Parks

City History, Stories, Essays & Images

Museums of San Francisco & Bay Area Sports Teams

SF Public Schools & SF Private Schools

School Academic Performance & SF Public Schools Parents Group

City Services Directory & SF Crime Map & Dept of Bldg Inspection FAQs

Neighborhood Civic Info & SF Municipal Codes & Zoning

Zoning, Permit, Crime & Demographic Info by Address

Bay Area Public Transport & Trip Planner

San Francisco Farmers’ Markets

San Francisco Recycling Resources

Disaster Preparedness & Seismic Map & Susceptibility Map

Legal Articles: TICs, Condo Conversion, Tenant Evictions

San Francisco Rent Board

Assessor’s Office: Property & Transfer Taxes, Recorded Documents

Volunteer Opportunities

Rules of Negotiation for Buyers & Sellers

Characteristics of a Good Real Estate Agent

Mortgage & Rent vs. Buy Calculators

The Importance of Correct Pricing

by Paragon Specific | Wednesday, 13 July, 2011


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5 cities where home prices will rise this year

by Paragon Specific | Tuesday, 12 July, 2011

By Amy Hoak, MarketWatch
CHICAGO (MarketWatch)

“Despite recent price improvements nationally, only five markets in the country are expected to see home-price gains for the remainder of 2011: Washington, New York, Orlando, Dallas and San Francisco.

That’s right, Orlando, Fla., where prices have fallen 63% from their peak.

This is according to Clear Capital’s home data index forecast, released Friday. The company provides real-estate valuation and risk assessment information for financial institutions.

Granted, prices are expected to be up only 0.7% through the remainder of the year in Orlando, said Alex Villacorta, director of research and analytics for Clear Capital.

“This is really a drop in the bucket compared with where this market has fallen,” he said. Yet it’s an encouraging sign of stability for a housing market that suffered the majority of its losses in 2008 and 2009, Villacorta added.

On a national basis, home prices are expected to fall another 2.4% for the second half of the year, according to the report.”

Click here to read more.

SF Controller’s Office: Economic Barometer Report for April 2011

by Paragon Specific | Saturday, 18 June, 2011

The controller’s office just released their report for April. Below is the chart. Click here to view the entire report.

Many of the measurements have now turned positive. Employment is up. Rents are up significantly in the past 12 months. Their analysis of median sales price should be taken with a grain of salt – if one separately assesses the median sales prices for distress sales and non-distress sales in SF, a different picture appears for the greater part of our market. (And median prices fluctuate up and down by month without there being much meaning to it, which is why we generally look at quarters, minimally, and then look at context as well.)

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Economic Barometer – April 2011

San Francisco’s unemployment rate in April fell to 8.5%, a fairly large drop of 0.3% since March on a seasonally-adjusted basis. April marked the first month that unemployment in San Francisco was below 9.0% since May, 2009.

Despite the decline in unemployment in the city, job creation in the 3-county metropolitan division has essentially stalled, with 0% job growth since April of 2010. This suggests that unemployment may be declining because of discouraged workers leaving the labor force, or because job seekers are finding work in other areas. Statewide, nonfarm employment increased by 1.0% from April 2010 to April 2011.

San Francisco housing continues on the slight downward that begun late in 2010. This double-dip in housing has largely erased the slight recovery in housing prices that the city saw in late 2009 and early 2010.

Market rents in housing continue to show growth, however, with one-bedroom asking rents on Craigslist averaging 15% higher than they were in April 2010.

San Francisco’s tourism sector continued its steady recovery in April, although hotel rates and occupancy were off the pace set in February on a seasonally-adjusted basis. Airport traffic continues to be strong, as it has throughout the recession.

Related indicators of economic activity in Union Square, San Francisco’s largest retail area, are also finally trending up. BART ridership to Powell Street station on Saturday is now nearly 5% higher than last year, and City parking garage tickets are up as well.


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